Thursday, April 18, 2013

Council of Europe: Greece could ban extreme right group Golden Dawn


The Council of Europe's commissioner for human rights says Greece should consider banning the extreme right-wing group Golden Dawn which has 18 seats in the country's 300-member parliament, and urged authorities to take tougher measures to combat a surge in racist violence.
Nils Muiznieks told the AP in an interview Tuesday that Greece would be "fully within its rights" to ban the party from public office. The commissioner, who visited Greece from Jan. 28 to Feb. 1, said in a 32-page report published by the Strasbourg, France-based organization Tuesday that he was "seriously concerned" by the increase in hate crimes targeting immigrants in Greece.
The report describes Golden Dawn as a "neo-Nazi and violent political party" that should be isolated under legally binding international human rights conventions signed by Greece.

Countries Buying the World’s Gold


Gold prices collapsed earlier this week one of the biggest selloffs on record  — but some of the world’s central banks are still buying up large amounts of the precious metal. Specifically, the central banks of six countries are adding gold to their official foreign reserves, according to The World Gold Council’s most recent report on global central bank holdings. These six nations have purchased large amounts of gold so far in 2013 or throughout 2012. And if their buying continues, their gold demand could offset some of selling pressure (which has driven gold price to below $1,400) in the future. Some nations may indeed continue buying because of central bank or currency issues.
Of course, a major market concern is that Cyprus is now likely a gold reserve seller. The World Gold Council shows that Cyprus’s 2013 gold reserve is only 13.9 tonnes, which is 61.9% of the small nation’s total foreign reserves. Concerns about selling from Cyprus are compounded by worries that larger troubled nations, including Italy, Portugal and Spain, may start selling gold to either raise capital or because of the existing Central Bank Gold Agreement sale programs. However, it does not appear that there is panic selling among most of these nations, so that effect can be discounted for the time being.
The six nations that could offset or at least mitigate gold sales by other central banks, institutions and individuals are Russia, Turkey, South Korea, Brazil, Kazakhstan and Iraq. In its analysis, 24/7 Wall St. has avoided specific speculation on why these nations may be acquiring gold because the reasons may differ from country to country.
It is worth noting is that the World Gold Council report evaluates central bank holdings and does not include investor and industrial demand in any of the countries. As recently as February, the World Gold Council showed that global central banks had bought the most gold since 1964. But India and China were no longer the demand mechanisms they had been in the past.
Many of the official central banks’ gold holdings of large nations, based on gross domestic product (GDP), are nearly the same as they were in 24/7 Wall St.’s last report: The 13 Countries That Own the World’s Gold. But if that changes and some of the troubled nations actually sell gold as a source of funds, then it be beyond the scope of retail investors and speculators to help keep gold price at even the current depressed levels.
Here are nations with largest gold reserves as measured by tonnes. This list includes the International Monetary Fund and the European Central Bank.
  • The United States (#1) was static at 8,133.5 tonnes
  • Germany (#2) was down slightly at 3,391.3 tonnes (April 2013), versus 3,401.8 tonnes in late 2011
  • The International Monetary Fund (#3) was static at 2,814 tonnes
  • Italy (#4) was static at 2,451.8 tonnes
  • France (#5) was static at 2,435.4 tonnes
  • China (#6) was static at 1,054.1 tonnes
  • Switzerland (#7) was static at 1,040.1 tonnes
  • Russia (#8) increased reserves from 851.5 tonnes in late 2011 to 976.9 tonnes (April 2013)
  • Japan (#9) was static at 765.2 tonnes
  • The Netherlands (#10) was static at 612.5 tonnes
  • India (#11) was static at 557.7 tonnes
  • The European Central Bank (#12) was static at 502.1 tonnes
  • Taiwan (#13) was static at 423.6 tonnes
  • Portugal (#14) was static at 382.5 tonnes
24/7 Wall St. has analyzed the World Gold Council data and added comments on how and why the central banks of Russia, Turkey, South Korea, Brazil, Kazakhstan and Iraq could act as the stabilizing mechanisms for gold if selling pressure continues. If history is a measure, it seems highly unlikely that retail buyers and speculators will start another wave of gold purchases. Central banks buy gold in support of their currencies, and the recent massive drop may give the central banks that can a chance to increase their gold holdings.
GDP and population estimates were both taken from the CIA World Factbook.
Russia
> GDP: $2.5 trillion
> Population: 142.5 million
Russia now ranks as number eight among the nations with central bank gold ownership, up at 976.9 tonnes at the April 2013 report, versus 851.5 tonnes in late 2011. It kept increasing reserves through 2012, predominantly through purchases of gold in the domestic market. In the first two months of 2013, it bought another 19.2 tonnes, which means that if the pace of buying remains the same, Russia will cross the 1,000 tonnes mark by May. With gold production of its own, and the desire of Russia to continue adding to its influence and power as a financial center, it should be expected that central bank buying will continue regardless of the price swings in gold.
Turkey
> GDP: $1.125 trillion
> Population: 80.69 million
Turkey is fairly new to the list of the top nations holding gold. However, its serious accumulation of gold has accelerated because of banking regulation changes. It is now ranked 15 on the list of nations and governmental agencies owning gold. Stockpiles are being added to Turkey’s balance sheet as a result of a new policy accepting gold in its reserve requirements from commercial banks. Turkey’s gold now accounts for 15.6% of its total foreign reserves. The gold buying may continue ahead, although the price drop might cause banks to take a reserve loss. Turkey makes banks count the attrition because gold has been mandated. Turkey now holds of 375.7 tonnes, after adding 16 tonnes so far in the first two months of 2013, and that is after adding a net 164.5 tonnes or so in 2012.
South Korea
> GDP: $1.61 trillion
> Population: 48.95 million
South Korea, which ranks at number 34 today on the list of nations with central bank gold holdings, has 104.4 tonnes of gold. However, its central bank holdings have increased gold reserves by 20 tonnes. The country made two large purchases in 2012, one of 14 tonnes and one of 16 tonnes. This is still only 1.6% of the central bank’s reserves. It is possible the escalation of North Korean rhetoric might have something to do with South Korea adding gold, now and in the future.
Brazil
> GDP: $2.36 trillion
> Population: 201 million
Brazil also moved up the World Gold Council list to number 41, with 67.2 tonnes. However, this is only 0.9% of all reserves in its central bank. There were no real changes so far in 2013 in Brazil’s central bank gold holdings. The large additions were made in late 2012, when the central bank added some 33.6 tonnes to its holdings. For some time, Brazil has needed to back its currency with more gold. The country has one of the great promising economies of in term of future expansion, yet the Brazilian real is backed by a relatively small amount of gold.
Kazakhstan
> GDP: $231.3 billion
> Population: 17.73 million
Kazakhstan may be a major economy, yet the World Gold Council continues to show that the nation is adding gold reserves to the central bank. It now ranks number 30 among central banks that own gold, with 121.7 tonnes. This is also listed as 23.3% of its total reserves. Through purchases and swaps, it has added 6.4 tonnes in the first two months of 2013. The total added for all of 2012 tallied to 33.1 tonnes.
Iraq
> GDP: $155.4 billion
> Population: 31.8 million
Iraq is very unlikely to put in a floor under international gold selling, but the World Gold Council showed that the nation ranked as number 54, with 29.8 tonnes. This is only 2.4% of its total foreign reserves, but one fact stood out in 2012 — it added 23.9 tonnes in August. As Iraq continues to get on with its recovery, more hard assets like gold may need to be purchased by its central bank to show additional stability for the reemerging nation.

Tuesday, April 16, 2013


 Leading German economist calls for dissolution of eurozone to save EU


 One of Germany's most eminent economists has called for the swift dissolution of the eurozone in its present form, arguing that the vision of a united Europe is in danger of imploding if debt-ridden countries are not shown the door.
Speaking before the founding conference on Sunday of a new breakaway political movement which wants to fiercely challenge Germany's support for eurozone bailouts, Joachim Starbatty, a professor of political economics who has filed repeated complaints with Germany's constitutional court arguing that eurozone bailouts are unconstitutional, said the EU would collapse if the eurozone battle was allowed to continue.

Italy seizes €1.8bn from Nomura over Monte dei Paschi di Siena fraud probe

 

Judges in Italy have ordered the seizure of more than €1.8bn (£1.53bn) of assets as part of an investigation into suspected fraud against troubled lender Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena.Prosecutors in the city of Siena said most of the assets to be seized were funds held by Banca Nomura International, the Milan branch of Japan's Nomura International.The prosecutors said the Nomura seizure regarded €88m of hidden commissions received by the Japanese bank and €1.7bn of funds deposited with Nomura by Monte Paschi by way of collateral for a loan.Smaller sums, reported to total €14.4m, were to be seized from former Monte Paschi chairman Giuseppe Mussari, ex-managing director Antonio Vigni and the former head of the finance department, Gian Luca Baldassari.The Japanese bank's former CEO Sadeq Sayeed has also been placed under investigation as part of the fraud probe, along with senior Nomura executive, Raffaele Ricci.The prosecutor's statement said Sayeed and Ricci were suspected of "gravely obstructing" the activities of supervisory authorities and putting out "false statements".

Britain gave millions of pounds in aid to Putin government

 

In one initiative, the Department for International Development (DfID) handed over £4.5million to encourage Russian ministries to be more “efficient, effective and transparent” and improve the country’s “business environment”.
Two projects designed to encourage Russia to give more aid to other nations received £820,000. The department even funded a scheme to “enable older people” in Russia to “achieve positive change in their lives by influencing decision-makers”.
David Cameron and Justine Greening, his International Development Secretary, are coming under growing pressure to end the ring-fencing of foreign aid spending.
DfID and the Department of Health are the only Whitehall departments that have been protected from spending cuts imposed across Whitehall.
The Coalition has ended aid to Russia, China, Serbia and Cambodia, but has increased such funding for India. Many Conservative backbenchers feel it is unacceptable to give any support to India, a country with a fast-growing economy and better aircraft carriers than Britain.
The Telegraph looked at a series of projects the international development department launched in Russia under the last government.
The largest initiative, called “Russia: Public Administration Reform”, channelled British public money into four government agencies: the ministries of regional and of economic development, the federal anti-monopoly service and a body that oversees public spending.
One of the many objectives was to “improve competitiveness and [the] business environment for the private sector” in Russia.
Another stated aim was to give “support to federal
government and regions in implementing performance management and performance budgeting in line with good international practices”.
Launched in 2007, the project was finally ended by the department in March 2011. A report published later stated that although Russian officials had received training at the British taxpayers’ expense, the agencies concerned had not at that stage implemented DfID’s recommendations.
The report, which gives the project a success rating of 65 per cent, suggests the scheme ran behind schedule and extension was necessary.
“The work… was given a one-year extension to allow completion by 2011,” the evaluation reads. “By this time, DfID had no staff on the ground in Russia and no staff within the department responsible with detailed knowledge of the programme.”
As Britain’s economy sank into recession in 2009, the international development department launched its “Russia as a donor” initiative. This aimed to “support Russia in its role as an emerging donor” and received £542,813 of funding before it was wound up in March 2011.
At the same time the department gave £280,000 to Russian academics and “civil society organisations” to help “inform Russian aid programmes and policies”. It has yet to publish any reports evaluating these initiatives.
The department has also not revealed the success of £114,803 given to help the Russian equivalents of Age Concern or Saga. This initiative aimed to “enable older people to achieve positive change in their lives, and the lives of others by influencing decision makers, supported by an effective network of ageing NGOs”.
Anne Main, one of several Conservative MPs campaigning to increase the transparency of the Coalition’s aid spending, said the projects were typical of “the profligacy” and “lack of focus” of aid spending under Labour.
“I was surprised to see that the last Labour government thought it wise to spend aid money in Russia in general and particularly on these projects,” said Mrs Main.
“Our aid must be aimed at helping the neediest around the world and many of the previous government’s decisions led to money being wasted and those in need going without.
“There is still a long way to go. I still have yet to be convinced of the merits of some projects I am looking into.”

Military expenditure falls - but Russia and China buck trend

 China and Russia were the major countries to buck the trend of a worldwide decrease in defence outlays, the first for 14 years. They increased spending 7.8 per cent (£7.5 billion) and 16 per cent (£8 billion) respectively last year, compared to 2011. Austerity measures in the US and Western and Central Europe, as well as in Australia, Canada and Japan, pushed global defence spending down by 0.5 per cent to £1.14 trillion in 2012, according to the report by the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute.The fall was partly the result of budget cuts associated with the global financial crisis, especially in the West, but was "substantially offset" by increased spending in Asia, Eastern Europe, the Middle East and North Africa, and Latin America."We are seeing what may be the beginning of a shift in the balance of world military spending from the rich western countries to emerging regions, as austerity policies and the drawdown in Afghanistan reduce spending in the former, while economic growth funds continuing increases elsewhere," said Dr Sam Perlo-Freeman, director of SIPRI's Military Expenditure and Arms Production Programme. Also significant was that the US share of world military spending fell below 40 per cent for the first time since the collapse of the Soviet Union. Washington's expenditure dropped six per cent in real terms to $682 billion (£444 billion) in 2012.

New German political party seeks an end to euro


New German political party seeks an end to euro
Alternative for Germany, a new political party whose main aim is the “orderly dissolution” of the euro, celebrated its founding congress in Berlin on Sunday. Experts believe the party could have a significant impact on September’s elections.


It’s a spectacle that Germans are getting tired of: southern European protesters burning their flags and waving placards comparing Chancellor Angela Merkel to Nazi leader Adolf Hitler, all in reaction to Berlin’s insistence on reforms and austerity in return for bailout funds.
And it’s enough to make people such as Berlin businessman Horst Freiberg, who never felt much love for the euro currency, pine more than ever for the return of the German mark.
“I’d immediately vote for a party that wants to abolish the euro,” said Freiberg, who has run a small business selling ink stamps in central Berlin for more than 40 years. “How can you have one currency with banana republics like Cyprus and Greece? And they always accuse us of being Nazis. It’s sick.”
Such sentiments are still the exception in Germany, where a sense of obligation to help fellow Europeans in distress is rooted in shame for the crimes of the Third Reich. But a new political party hopes to capitalize on simmering fears that the euro crisis could deepen and drag down Europe’s biggest economy. It aims to garner enough votes from people like Freiberg in September elections to reach the 5 percent minimum needed for seats in Parliament.
Called Alternative for Germany, the main goal of the party founded by academics and economists is the “orderly dissolution” of the euro.
The stance puts the party in sharp opposition to Merkel’s position that there can be no Europe without the preservation of the single currency, with her repeated insistence that “if the euro fails, Europe will fail.” While still a fledgling movement, the new party could hurt Merkel by sapping support from her main coalition partner _ which she has relied on for a stable government.
“Because of the euro, people in southern Europe don’t hesitate to express their disgust toward Germany, using old Nazi comparisons,” party founder Bernd Lucke said Sunday in a speech to about 1,500 cheering Alternative For Germany members at the party’s founding congress in Berlin.
“The euro was a failure and it would be bad if we continue to believe in this fairy tale,” he said. “If the euro fails, Europe doesn’t fail.”
Alternative for Germany wants to introduce Swiss-style national referendums so voters can have a say on important matters _ including economic rescue packages. The party congress, at Berlin’s upscale Intercontinental Hotel, plans to adopt a program and vote for a party board on Sunday.
Many of the attendees expressed anger about what they said have been unfair money transfers from German taxpayers to help bail out countries such as Cyprus and Greece.
“This party has good ideas,” said Andreas Fluegge, 49, a software specialist from Limburgerhof in the country’s southwest. “The euro is a big problem for us. Since we have had the euro I’m making less money and paying more taxes for things I don’t understand. I hope these politicians will change this.”
For all the talk about what it doesn’t like, however, the party has been short on what it does like, and its leaders were slammed in an editorial this week in the top-selling Bild newspaper as “political amateurs.”
The conservative tabloid has never shied away from accusing southern Europeans of being lazy, nor has it stopped deploring the cost Germany shoulders to bail out other nations, but turning against the euro itself remains unthinkable.
“They can craftily explain what is wrong with rescuing the euro, but they have no concept on how the future of Europe should look,” Bild wrote.
Experts believe the party has little chance of garnering enough of the protest vote to reach the 5 percent threshold. But it could draw enough voters away from Merkel’s center-right coalition to force her into an alliance with the opposition or give the opposition an outright majority.
“There is space for an anti-euro party in Germany,” said Oskar Niedermayer, a political scientist at Berlin’s Free University. “So far this position hasn’t really been represented in the German party system.”
Underlining the potential appeal, a recent poll showed that even though 69 percent of Germans now back the euro _ up from about 50 percent last year _ a significant minority of 27 percent said they’d like to see a return to the mark. The survey of 1,003 people was conducted April 2-3 for the business daily Handelsblatt. The poll had an estimated margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.
Abandoning the euro currency would have significant costs, especially for Germany as a heavily export-oriented economy. According to analysts’ estimates, it could easily knock down the country’s annual output by a double digit percentage figure.
“I think the Germans know, and to some extent accept, that they have to pay the bill for saving the euro,” said Ursula Weidenfeld, an economist and author. “They just want to make sure that they aren’t paying more than necessary.”
Other nations such as the Netherlands, Austria and Finland have also insisted on the same austerity measures that Germany has demanded in exchange for European bailouts, but as the bloc’s largest economy and the largest single contributor to the funds, most of the anger has been directed at Germany and Merkel.
Some of Merkel’s voters are now beginning to wonder whether their country _ and their savings _ should be tied to the struggling euro project, and Weidenfeld said support for the euro “could quickly change if a new rescue package has to be negotiated.”
Should the eurozone’s woes spread to fully engulf Italy or Spain _ the bloc’s third- and fourth-largest economies _ and require them to ask for a bailout, German voters could panic, said Niedermayer.
In Germany’s election in September, the issue poses the greatest threat to the Free Democratic Party, Merkel’s junior coalition partner which has a pro-business platform. Because the party has polled only slightly above five percent, even the loss of a few thousand voters could mean disaster.
“It’s not impossible that this new party could sap half a percent from the FDP and thereby kick them out of parliament,” said Niedermayer. That could create a huge headache for Merkel, who may find it hard to form a workable majority in parliament without the FDP.
Merkel’s own party, too, could suffer if conservative voters see Alternative for Germany as a credible way to express their frustration about her leadership.
Economist Rudolf Hickel told Germany’s Deutsche Welle, however, that even though there is anti-euro sentiment out there, Alternative for Germany doesn’t have broad enough appeal to effectively tap it.
“They are professors and frustrated economists,” he said. “If the party were headed by a populist, I’d consider them dangerous.”